There are some who think the markets are living in an alternate reality, but the rally in July involved multiple companies in the IT and Pharma sectors. FIIs have also made a big comeback last quarter. There’s good reason to believe the India growth story is intact.
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The markets in May turned choppy once again as the stimulus package failed to raise spirits. While the long term prospects remain good considering the resilience of the Indian economy, short term concerns have started raising their heads. Post lockdown performance of companies can tell us more in the coming months.
We were expecting the RBI governor to step in and provide liquidity and rate cuts. The RBI governor did just that today. He declared a string of measures like cutting the Repo and the reverse repo rates, cutting the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) by 100 basis points, injecting liquidity of Rs 3.74 lakh crores in the system etc. All this should cause the interest rates to go down (and hence bond prices to go up). At the time of writing this piece, the interest rates were indeed down.
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